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Over the past few years, much has
been written about the gradual aging of the U.S. population and the inevitable
impact on housing, health care, travel and leisure, and many other industries.
The
most forward-looking nonprofits in America have also become increasingly aware
that changes in the age distribution of donors will increasingly affect the ways
in which they seek funding.
Note the
distribution of births in America during the period from 1909 to 1990 in the
chart at right.
As
the chart indicates, approximately three million persons were born
in America each year prior to 1925, when birth rates began a 25%
decline that ended nine years later during the depths of the Great
Depression. Between 1935 and 1955, some 70
million persons were born. While the term “baby boomer”
generally refers to the persons born between 1946 and 1964, a
lengthier upturn in births occurred between 1935 and 1955.
Impact on
fund development
For those planning their fund
development efforts for the future, this means that the number of
persons now aged 70 and older can be expected to grow relatively
slowly as those born before the Depression begin to pass away with
fewer persons to replace them. According to census reports,
approximately 30 million Americans are currently aged 70 and older.
Of this group, some 60% are female and 40% male. Among those in the
80-and-older age range, there are approximately 17 million persons
still living. Notably, some 63% of those persons are female and 37%
male.
According to Sharpe Group studies and
IRS data, the average age at death of persons who leave funds to
charity through their wills and similar planning tools is
approximately 84 years of age. There are now about 27 million
persons between the ages of 70 and 84, the majority of whom can be
expected to pass away during the next 20 years. The passing of this
generation will comprise the first phase of the unprecedented
transfer of wealth that has been predicted to occur in coming years.
The following chart illustrates the gradual increase in the numbers
of persons at or approaching the age at which charitable bequests
are typically received.
Despite
the demographic trends that will form the basis for increased
funding from estates in coming years, charitable organizations and
institutions that wish to participate in the ongoing wealth transfer
should make certain that their donors know that they welcome
bequests, gift annuities, and other gifts that come to fruition
only at the death of one or more persons.
The challenge for some will be
communicating the benefits of bequests and various other planned
gift options to the appropriate persons at the most opportune
time. Studies have shown that many long-term donors tend to lapse in
their late 70s and early 80s, about the same time that they are
making their final estate plans.
It is therefore important to take
steps where possible to delay the point at which older persons
discontinue their current giving to increase the probability of
being in touch with them when they are making final plans.
It is also vital to keep in mind that
the majority of people in this age range are women. In many cases
their husbands have predeceased them and left to them the ultimate
decisions concerning the division of what may be substantial sums
accumulated during marriage. Not surprisingly, then, some 70% of
bequests typically come from women.
Men, on the other hand, do not leave
as much property through their wills to charitable recipients and
others because they often own their homes, securities, and other
assets jointly with a spouse. In addition, other assets such as
insurance proceeds and retirement plan assets are transferred via
contract or beneficiary designations. For that reason, the bulk of
their estates usually passes outside probate to their wives
automatically at the time of their death.
Women, however, tend to own property
outright at the time of death and distribute their property under
the terms of a will. This is one of the reasons it is important
when communicating planned gift concepts to older donors to continue
to concentrate on bequests via wills.
The
younger group
As
noted above, the group of those who will leave bequests in the
near term is now passing from the scene and will be “replaced”
by a much larger total group of persons now in the 50-to-70 age
range (see chart at right). The oldest of this group, however, enjoy
a life expectancy of 15 years or more. The youngest may live an
additional 35 or 40 years or even longer, depending on future
medical advances.
For that reason, with the “young
old” group it is less important to emphasize gifts that will take
place at their deaths in 15 to 35 years, and more important to
emphasize gift planning options that will result in gifts in a
relatively short period of time. Term of years charitable remainder
trusts, lead trusts, and life income gifts for the benefit of
parents and other loved ones of advanced years are examples.
Keep in mind also
that this younger group will be made up of a higher proportion of
men and married couples. The percentage of the 70-and-older
population with one or more years of higher education will also be
increasing as a result of the G.I. Bill and other factors that made
higher education more widespread among this group. In addition,
these persons have spent much of their careers contributing to IRAs
and other taxfavored savings plans. They may thus be considerably
more “financially literate” than the preceding generation.
First
things first
While it is important to communicate
deferred gift concepts to the coming generation of seniors, don’t
forget that many of them will continue to be current donors for a
decade or longer. One of the best ways to discover those among this
emerging segment of donors who may have the inclination to make
major gifts is to periodically sweep the group in search of those
who will say they have already considered or would consider
leaving a bequest. This can be one of the best indicators that a
younger person of means may have donative intent that is not fully
revealed by his or her current level of giving. Careful attention to
these persons could yield welcome increases in current giving.
These are just a few of the
implications of the changing demographic makeup of the U.S. donor
population. Many organizations have found that time dedicated to
analysis of the age distribution of their constituency will result
in newfound opportunities that are unique to them. Now is the time
to reach out and encourage donors of all ages to consider how they
can more effectively plan their gifts for the benefit of
themselves, their loved ones, and their charitable interests.
This
article is excerpted from Session One of the popular Sharpe seminar “Major Gift Planning.” Join the
over 4,000 representatives of charitable entities who have attended
this seminar in recent years. See page 3 for details on upcoming
sessions.
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